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Sport betting tips: Sports betting tips 2025 (Page 58)

Topic created on 31st Dec. 2024 | Page: 58 of 61 | Answers: 906 | Views: 27,815
Emeyesty
Experienced
Everyone has to know for themselves what odds they play, but 1.7 is the limit for me. Below that, it makes no sense to me because, as @patizi already said, you have to make up for a correspondingly long streak with one miss. If you lose every third bet with corresponding odds, you still stay in the black. Packing mini odds into a 12-odds combination can of course work well, but experience has shown that you won't make a profit in the long term.

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Emeyesty
Experienced

Stromberg wrote on February 17th, 2025 at 4:48 pm:

Even if you're completely convinced, it's clear that the probability is still somewhere around 65-75 percent if you don't play mini odds.

And if, as in this case, there are still 2 out of 6 games left, the probability of losing the bet overall is still higher than winning it. You might be at least as convinced of the missing games as you are of the others, they're just the last two 😄

The question should therefore rather be why you don't bet 2 games less.

If there are no mini odds, you can easily find out whether you would have done better if you had played each game individually with the same stake. I maintain that you are better off with "good" odds. Or you can create a system bet, e.g. as I (or my colleague here) like to do with the draws

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Patizi
Elite

Langhans_innen wrote on February 17th, 2025 at 5:25 pm:
The question of expectations and what "doesn't bring in much" means exactly. If we now assume that 95% of sports bettors end up in the red (I don't know, I'm just saying), then the variant described above by Emeyesty is definitely more recommendable, even if it only yields a rather moderate plus of a few percent in the end. The question is whether you're satisfied with that or whether you'd rather pursue this "head-through-the-wall-and-f**k-with-probabilities-and-small-amounts-strategy" to end up in the red in the medium term and almost always in the red, even if you had more excitement and action as a result The bottom line is that every cent in the plus is at least more financially "sensible" than a loss. Whether this goal-oriented betting then appeals to you or is fun is a completely different matter.

Since we were talking about "experts", the expectations are clear and it goes without saying that you're not playing for a 2-3 euro win

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Stromberg
Legend
Emeyesty wrote on February 17th, 2025 at 5:43 pm:

If it's not mini odds, surely you can easily find out if you would have done better by playing each game individually with the same stake? I maintain that you're better off with "good" odds. Or you can create a system bet, e.g. as I (or my colleague here) like to do with the draws

Yes of course, so you can ask whoever you want, if it is somehow possible to bet successfully, then with single bets.


If I cash out a single bet after 20 minutes with a 20 percent win, then the question of why you play the bet at all is absolutely justified.

If you are offered 800% win after 4 out of 6 games (let's say Olli has bet a 5), then that looks different again. Of course, this is disproportionate to the potential win.

The fact that you might take the cashout doesn't necessarily mean that you're not convinced by the other two games. However, even a bet on a game you are convinced of is, you have to admit, not certain. Especially not if there are 2 more...

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Stromberg
Legend

Olli_Eule wrote on 17.02.2025 at 17:00:
since I win the most at Bet365, they will soon remove these betting credits as a Deposit bonus. that's where the limiting starts.

@ Stromberg if I play 2 games less I only have a win of 40 euros. If I deposit 20 euros and then gamble away the 20 euros. In the end I only have 20 euros plus.

And this plus is gone after the next depositor. Because you can't always win.

You're so tough and bet 10 or 20 euros. I would never do that! I only ever bet 2 to 5 euros. You can't win a Pot of flowers with a small bet.

well, let's see how it goes from here





Yes, I understand, I play such combos myself. Even if it's not successful in the long term, it's always nice to get ahead with a big win. Bigger bets bring bigger wins, but they also cost more money (if you don't make a long-term profit, which I definitely don't count on), so it's actually no different to you, just with different numbers. 😄

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Langhans_innen
Elite
The cash slip cashout terror is like a visit to the pawn shop. Everyone who comes out is happy at first because they have bills in their hands. But the more often you go there and trade in your belongings, the greater the loss in value. At some point, the stuff has mathematically belonged to someone else for a long time, even though you still own it

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Stromberg
Legend

Langhans_innen wrote on 17.02.2025 at 18:08: The cash slip cashout terror is like a visit to the pawn shop. Everyone who comes out is happy at first because they have bills in their hands. But the more often you go there and trade in your belongings, the greater the loss of value. At some point, the stuff has mathematically belonged to the other person for a long time, even though you still own it

Yes, but in some cases it can be better if the pawnbroker gives you another penny for your vase than if it falls down on the way and breaks... 🤔

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Emeyesty
Experienced
I think bigger bets mean bigger wins is a very fatal approach. Money management and bankroll should actually be the principle in conjunction with "value". For example, I would have personally quoted Schalke much lower yesterday, but I still went with my standard bet because the Variance in sport is always there. It's very difficult but you shouldn't get emotional about it, everyone probably knows "anger bets" out of frustration.

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Langhans_innen
Elite

Stromberg wrote on February 17th, 2025 at 6:16 pm:

Yes, but in individual cases it can be better if the planter lender gives you another penny for your vase than if it falls down on the way and breaks... 🤔

Yes, a pawn shop is a perfectly legitimate way to get money. But somehow it's only intended for emergencies and not for dealing with your daily finances. Then you don't have to go there so often and you don't drop as much

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Stromberg
Legend

Langhans_innen wrote on February 17th, 2025 at 6:25 pm:

Yes, a pawn shop is a perfectly legitimate way to get money. But somehow it's only meant for emergencies and not for dealing with your daily finances. Then you don't have to go there so often and you don't drop as much

I've never been to one😄

In my early days as a bachelor, when I was training, etc., it was probably even more expensive... But I didn't gamble away my money then either, instead I drank it away at the weekend and otherwise let it go up in smoke😊 no chance of winning, but actually more fun than stupid slots😄

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Langhans_innen
Elite
Stromberg wrote on February 17th, 2025 at 6:33 pm:

I've never been to one😄

In my early days as a journeyman in training etc. the dispo had to hold out, but it was probably even more expensive... But I didn't gamble away my money either, but drank it away at the weekend and otherwise let it go up in smoke😊 no chances of winning, but actually more fun than stupid slots😄

I've never been there either...but I've seen loads of documentaries on Kabel 1 & Co. Oh dear, don't remind me of the past...I used to be very different when it came to dealing with finances. Diametrically opposed to today, everything was heaped on my head and I never even came close to starting the new month with a plus, even though my salary had just arrived. I always paid the rent 1-2 months late...Luckily it belonged to my parents It was still a good time...Party costs

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Olli_Eule
Elite
Too bad Genoa can't score a goal

1 to 0 unbelievable in the 82nd minute.

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ExCaL
Top Member

Olli_Eule wrote on 17.02.2025 at 22:19: Too bad Genoa can't score a goal

1 to 0 unbelievable in the 82nd minute.

Have made another one✨

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Olli_Eule
Elite

ExCaL wrote on February 17th, 2025 at 11:51 pm:

Have made another one✨

Yes now praying that ca independiente scores another goal, but the odds were probably too high with the Risk

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ExCaL
Top Member

Olli_Eule wrote on 18.02.2025 00:13:

Yes now pray that ca independiente makes another goal, but the odds were probably too high with the Risk

Have scored 🙏

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