Sport betting tips: Sports betting tips 2024 (Page 78)

Hanshanshans wrote on 13.03.2024 05:06:

Definitely deserved... Once again a "tough" season for Gladbach supporters 🤮


Little fun fact, Saarbrücken have won against more first division teams than Mainz and Darmstadt.

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x00NY wrote on March 12th, 2024 at 5:36 pm:

That sounds good, then I'll take it with me. Thank you


And to Olli, why should anyone blame you if one of your tips here doesn't come off? Firstly, sports betting is gambling, and secondly, everyone decides for themselves what they want to play. The blame would only apply if you came to my house and threatened me with a gun that I should play it now

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MisterL wrote on 12.03.2024 at 18:35: 5euro free bet at tipico

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Butterbrezel wrote on March 12th, 2024 at 7:24 pm:

Interesting topic.

From a purely technical point of view, you can of course achieve a higher chance than the pure mathematical chance if you assess the game correctly.
Exactly, if the bookmaker's assessment is not correct, as in your example with odds of 1.9 (fair 2.0).

However, since this is also only an assessment, I believe that the probability in your example is always
1 in 16 -> and thus in the long term with an advantage for the bookmaker.
The best research and assessment does not replace the gambling factor, because you don't know in advance what the players will do on the field.

I take up the "goat dilemma" on the subject of "probability".

The basic question of the goat dilemma is the game show "Go all in".

You are a contestant and have 3 goals to choose from. In 2 is the Zonk (or a goat in the English format), in 1 is a new car.

You freely choose a gate (in our example gate 1, but it doesn't matter which number).
The showmaster, who knows behind which gate the goats and the car are located, opens gate 3 (in our example) - a goat. You are happy, the chances of winning a car have obviously increased.
He now offers you the chance to reconsider your decision and switch from gate 1 to gate 2.
Once again: there is a goat in one gate and the new car in the other.

Without googling this topic, if you don't already know it, what mathematical chance of winning do you have if you stay with gate 1 and what chance do you have, under the above circumstances, if you choose gate 2 after all?

Perhaps this idea can somehow be transferred to sports betting (3 selections, as with home win - draw - loss), I just don't know exactly how yet. Maybe we can figure it out together

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Ariana wrote on 13.03.2024 at 17:05: @olli owl thank you my dear would have won 190 which is a lot for me and I am very happy btw would have 1 euro per bet 🤪 imagine if I had bet 10 or 100 omfg Well anyway I am very happy about my modest win ❤️

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needle34 wrote on 13.03.2024 at 23:02: Heja BVB 🙏😉 my Tip also came full hut

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Hroyal wrote on 14.03.2024 at 02:37: What do you think about the upcoming Hansa Rostock game? Good odds, whether they can do it and get the home win 🤔?

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