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Sport betting tips: Sports betting tips 2024 (Page 75)

Topic created on 01st Jan. 2024 | Page: 75 of 398 | Answers: 5,966 | Views: 262,085
Stromberg
Legend

Sports betting tips 2024

12th Mar. 2024, at 11:10 am CET#1111
1 Like

Liked this post: Avatar von Olli_Eule Olli_Eule
Olli_Eule wrote on 12.03.2024 at 09:31:
Yes that's it then too . No more tips from me.

I'm just unlucky at the moment and always type the wrong thing. It was bound to happen and it's been like this for 3 weeks. and I always type at the wrong time.

Well, Midtjylland was right, Rb Salzburg ice hockey was right....
Olli_Eule wrote on 12.03.2024 at 09:31:
Yeah that's it then . No more tips from me.

I'm just unlucky at the moment and always guess the wrong thing. It was bound to happen and it's been like this for 3 weeks. I also always type at the wrong time.


I've just reached my frustration limit too. 😄Could now post about 10 tickets from the last 2 weeks here, where exactly one goal is always missing. Wins between 100 and 300 euros. And then again and again games where I needed 3 goals and 2 have already been scored at half-time, but then nothing more comes... Pauli Hertha for example.
I'll take the CL and El with me this week, as well as the weekend and then take a break from next Monday over the international break.

I can't remember the last time I didn't bet for 10 days in a row (since I started), so it's about time. 😄

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Butterbrezel
Elite

Sports betting tips 2024

12th Mar. 2024, at 11:35 am CET#1112
2 Likes

Liked this post: Avatar von Olli_Eule Olli_Eule, Avatar von Stromberg Stromberg

Stromberg wrote on March 12th, 2024 at 11:10 am:

I've just reached my frustration limit too. 😄Could now post about 10 bills from the last 2 weeks here, where exactly one goal is always missing. Wins between 100 and 300 euros. And then again and again games where I needed 3 goals and 2 have already been scored at half-time, but then nothing more comes... Pauli Hertha for example.
I'll take the CL and El with me this week, as well as the weekend and then take a break from next Monday over the international break.

I can't remember the last time I didn't bet for 10 days in a row (since I started), so it's about time. 😄


Similar for me. Lots of bad beats in February 2024, always missing 1 in goals bets, always a late goal in X against.

At the moment I'm also taking a creative break, I'm not in a gambling mood either. Then you don't necessarily have to do that.

But the desire will definitely come back. And so will success

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Olli_Eule
Elite

Sports betting tips 2024

12th Mar. 2024, at 11:42 am CET#1113
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Butterbrezel wrote on March 12th, 2024 at 11:35 am:


Similar for me. Many bad beats in February 2024, always missing 1 in goals bets, always a late goal in X against.

At the moment I'm also taking a creative break, I'm not in a gambling mood either. Then you don't necessarily have to do that.

But the desire will definitely come back. And so will success


Yes, I wanted to take this creative break during my vacation. But well, what a stupid thing to type. Now I'm really annoyed that I wasted my precious time there.


It also seemed to me that I wanted to force a win.

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Stromberg
Legend

Sports betting tips 2024

12th Mar. 2024, at 01:22 pm CET#1114
1 Like

Liked this post: Avatar von Langhans_innen Langhans_innen

Butterbrezel wrote on March 12th, 2024 at 11:35 am:


Similar for me. Many bad beats in February 2024, always missing 1 in goals bets, always a late goal in X against.

At the moment I'm also taking a creative break, I'm not in a gambling mood either. Then you don't necessarily have to do that.

But the desire will definitely come back. And so will success


I also think... 😄


I'd be interested in your opinion on the subject of combination bets.

Let's assume I'm playing a 4-way combination, just as an example, with odds of 13.00,
4 odds of 1.9 each.

Now the bookie still has its margin in each odds, i.e. the fair odds for the probability calculated by the bookie would actually be 2.0 and the total odds 16.00.

This should now also be the probability assumed by the bookie that the ticket will hit, i.e. 1 in 16.

In terms of other things, this is a value where you would not expect the event to happen.

When you place your betting slip, you have already thought about it, but you assume that it could well happen (at least that's how I feel).
At least you think it's much more likely than drawing one of 16 balls, for example. 😄

Long story short, here's my question:

What do you guys think what probability can actually be achieved by making the right bet selection through research etc.... . By practically taking 4 value bets in the ticket, whose probabilities you estimate to be higher than the bookie.

(In the end, of course, this cannot be said across the board, because it is often also subjective perception and assessment of circumstances as to whether a bet has value or how likely it is).

But would you say an actual probability of 1 in 10 is possible?
Or do you consider the probability that you are actually offered (1 in 13 in my example) to be the maximum because you can perhaps only make up the bookie's margin?

I'd be interested to know, I hope it's clear what I mean...

( other factors that influence the betting odds, especially the betting market itself, i.e. what is being bet on by the players, I leave out of my example, even if this can of course bring value to a bet)






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Langhans_innen
Expert

Sports betting tips 2024

12th Mar. 2024, at 02:46 pm CET#1115
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You've described it very clearly and comprehensibly I don't think it's possible to turn a mathematical probability of 1/16 into an actual1/10. That would require 4 bets, in each of which you are ahead of the bookie in terms of assessment. Unthinkable for me. Maybe three would be enough and one of them would almost have to be an odds error.
But the idea of 16 balls being drawn and only one of them being correct in terms of probability has never occurred to me. Off the top of my head, I would have guessed that you could get around two or three out of 16 four-ball combos with 1.9 each. That would be a big plus, which is why it won't be like that in the long term and that's a fallacy. From that point of view, you should refrain from it, because it can't end well in the medium term. Incidentally, I would never play...95% are certainly single bets. Very rarely a combination. Everything else is too uncertain for me. The motto "bird in the hand" is simply more in my blood than monster combos or highly questionable maximum winnings. Edit: as an alternative for more Risk-averse combination fans, there are possibly 2 out of 3(4) or 3 out of 4(5) systems....I don't think anything else makes much sense in the long run.

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Stromberg
Legend

Sports betting tips 2024

12th Mar. 2024, at 02:58 pm CET#1116
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Langhans wrote on 12.03.2024 at 14:46: You've described it very clearly and comprehensibly I don't think it's possible to turn a mathematical probability of 1/16 into an actual1/10. This would require 4 bets, in each of which you are ahead of the bookie in terms of estimation. Unthinkable for me. Maybe three would be enough and one of them would almost have to be an odds error.
But the idea of 16 balls being drawn and only one of them being correct in terms of probability has never occurred to me. Off the top of my head, I would have guessed that you could get around two or three out of 16 four-ball combos with 1.9 each. That would be a big plus, which is why it won't be like that in the long term and that's a fallacy. From that point of view, you should refrain from it, because it can't end well in the medium term. Incidentally, I would never play...95% are certainly single bets. Very rarely a combination. Everything else is too uncertain for me. The motto "bird in the hand" is simply more in my blood than monster combos or highly questionable maximum winnings. Edit: as an alternative for more Risk-averse combo fans, there might be 2 out of 3(4) or 3 out of 4(5) systems....I don't think anything else makes much sense in the long run.

Yes, I agree, and I'm thinking about changing my wild gambling and going more for single bets or 2-bet combos. I'm just not disciplined enough unfortunately, but that's actually a knockout criterion for successful betting. 😂


System bets are perhaps interesting with high odds and small bets, for example for the 1st half both meet GJ-Community - bet 😄

Otherwise, a 3 out of 4 is nothing more than 4 combination bets.

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Langhans_innen
Expert

Sports betting tips 2024

12th Mar. 2024, at 03:07 pm CET#1117
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Stromberg wrote on 12.03.2024 at 14:58:


Otherwise a 3 out of 4 is nothing more than 4 combination bets.

yes, that's true: 3 out of 4 is four combined bets. But from what I understand here, let's say the 4 combination bets of each person are spread over a total of 10 or more games and not over 4 games, which of course increases the KO Risk of all slips.

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x****Y

Sports betting tips 2024

12th Mar. 2024, at 04:11 pm CET#1118
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Liked this post: B****3, n****4
Got 1x 50€ and 1x 25€ bet without Risk at tipico, does anyone have any good combos as a suggestion?

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Langhans_innen
Expert

Sports betting tips 2024

12th Mar. 2024, at 04:27 pm CET#1119
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x00NY wrote on 12.03.2024 at 16:11: Got at tipico 1x 50€ and 1x 25€ bet without Risk, does anyone have good combos as a suggestion?

maybe include Eule's sheikh game, which has already been mentioned here? https://www.gamblejoe.com/sportwetten-tipps/detail/185/


29 wins in a row for the visitors. Can't give a rating myself...I always steer clear of Asia. It's literally too far away for me

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Olli_Eule
Elite

Sports betting tips 2024

12th Mar. 2024, at 04:38 pm CET#1120
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Langhans wrote on 12.03.2024 at 16:27:

maybe include Eule's sheikh game, which has already been mentioned here? https://www.gamblejoe.com/sportwetten-tipps/detail/185/


29 wins in a row for the visitors. Can't give a rating myself...I always steer clear of Asia. It's literally too far away for me

I'd rather not use my tips at the moment.


He should listen to his gut feeling.

I don't want to be responsible for things going pear-shaped. They've always won, but watch what happens when I bet. Gambling is so unpredictable.

And @ Rainmann. NHL games were much better last year when the favorites regularly won. Well every year is different.

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Langhans_innen
Expert

Sports betting tips 2024

12th Mar. 2024, at 04:44 pm CET#1121
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Olli_Eule wrote on March 12th, 2024 at 4:38 pm:

Better not with my tips at the moment.


He should listen to his gut feeling himself.

I don't want to be responsible for things going wrong.

He listens to his gut feeling and is solely responsible. If others give him a Tip, which he explicitly asked for, they are just as little to blame

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Stromberg
Legend

Sports betting tips 2024

12th Mar. 2024, at 05:05 pm CET#1122
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x00NY wrote on 12.03.2024 at 16:11: Got at tipico 1x 50€ and 1x 25€ bet without Risk, does anyone have good combos as a suggestion?

I will combine CL and El a bit, and play the following combo first.... If I had 50 euros or 25 € risk-free I would use them for this


Arsenal over 1.5 team goals 1.34
Fenerbace Union saint-g. Over 2.5 1.64
Rangers Benfica over 2.5 1.7
Villareal Marseille over 2.5 1.52


Total 5.68

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Rainmann
Elite

Sports betting tips 2024

12th Mar. 2024, at 05:08 pm CET#1123
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Olli_Eule wrote on 12.03.2024 at 16:38:
Better not with my tips at the moment.


He should listen to his gut feeling himself.

I don't want to be responsible for things going pear-shaped. They've always won, but watch what happens when I bet. Gambling is so unpredictable.

And @ Rainmann. NHL games were much better last year when the favorites regularly won. Well, different every year.

Yes, it was the same in soccer or other sports. It's harder every year

This post has been translated automatically

x****Y

Sports betting tips 2024

12th Mar. 2024, at 05:36 pm CET#1124
1 Like

Liked this post: Avatar von Olli_Eule Olli_Eule

Stromberg wrote on March 12th, 2024 at 5:05 pm:

I'm going to combine CL and El a bit, and play the following combo first.... If I had 50 euros or 25 € Risk-free I would use them for this


Arsenal over 1.5 team goals 1.34
Fenerbace Union saint-g. Over 2.5 1.64
Rangers Benfica over 2.5 1.7
Villareal Marseille over 2.5 1.52


Total 5.68


That sounds good, then I'll take it with me. Thank you


And to Olli, why should anyone blame you if one of your tips here doesn't come off? Firstly, sports betting is gambling, and secondly, everyone decides for themselves what they want to play. The blame would only apply if you came to my house and threatened me with a gun that I should play it now

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n****4

Sports betting tips 2024

12th Mar. 2024, at 06:28 pm CET#1125
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x00NY wrote on 12.03.2024 at 16:11: Got at tipico 1x 50€ and 1x 25€ bet without Risk, does anyone have good combos as a suggestion?

Game Dortmund at home either win or 2 goals BVB am live there will go wrong

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