Sports betting tips 2024

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Elite

Olli_Eule

Forum posts: 3.652 Member since: 15.10.2020

17th Oct. 2024, at 11:48 pm CEST#4612

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From now on, I won't get annoyed if I make mistakes when betting.

But the worst thing would be to cancel a bet and it comes off.

Now I take it easy or 😜 I give up completely

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Elite

Hanshanshans

verified

Forum posts: 2.154 Member since: 18.05.2020

Sports betting tips 2024

18th Oct. 2024, at 12:16 am CEST#4613

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Liked this post: Stromberg

Olli_Eule wrote on 17.10.2024 at 23:48: From now on I won't be annoyed if I make mistakes when betting.

But the worst thing would be to cancel a bet and it comes in.

Now I take it easy or 😜 I give up completely

We never actually make "betting mistakes" here. The games just often don't end as expected...😂

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Elite

Olli_Eule

Forum posts: 3.652 Member since: 15.10.2020

Sports betting tips 2024

18th Oct. 2024, at 01:20 am CEST#4614

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Hanshanshans wrote on 18.10.2024 00:16:

We never actually make "betting mistakes" here. The games often just don't end as expected...😂

A mistake is when you are convinced that team 1 will win, but you hedge it with 1x and over 1.5 goals, but then it ends 1 to 0.

Whereby it was actually more clear that they would win.

You can also ruin tips. By wanting to hedge everything.

Or you think Calgary will win in ice hockey.
And then you think again and bet under 6.5 goals is safer. In the end, Calgary wins 9 to 6.

Now I need a spin in Brazil, but that rarely happens there.

Nothing has been going on in betting for 5 weeks

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Legend

Stromberg

Forum posts: 4.647 Member since: 17.07.2017

Sports betting tips 2024

18th Oct. 2024, at 09:53 am CEST#4615

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Butterbrezel wrote on October 17th, 2024 at 5:38 pm:

Eig. a big hit is enough to make up for a negative series of a whole year.

1 x such a 1st half hit all, 5 combo, Bam!
Or just a 6/8 X combo, Bam!
Or just a monthly salary on Stuttgart winning in Munich, Bam!

Haha, that's right. I still play these 1.hz btts too...

But after the goal, it's best to hang up your sports betting shoes.

I've even expanded my portfolio of "lottery bets".
One is the German-Danish friendly bet on Friday evening, which includes a combination of 1st, 2nd and 3rd BL plus the game in the Danish Superliga (i.e. the Friday games) all over 2.5 goals.

On Saturdays and Sundays there is the Germany bet, also known as the people's bet.
This includes a combination on Saturday and Sunday of all 1st and 2nd division matches on the respective day, all over 2.5 goals...

I have 2 models in mind for the future as to how I might continue with betting.

I've often tried depositing €100 at xy and sticking to single bets with what I think is value. Just as a test. But I have no discipline for it. At the latest when the first 2 bets are lost, the combination comes to get back into the plus (theoretically😄). Even if I've made 600 from €200 plus a €100 bonus, I'm often too undisciplined to manage the money with single bets and take a sure win. 😂

Project one is therefore: Deposit 100€ at bookie xy, one without betting tax, write tips here again (for the reason that I then take the trouble to research sensibly) and play my own tips at the bookie. Play combos etc elsewhere.
Just to test how it works with single bets that have been researched sensibly at my own discretion.

The other idea is more in the direction of self-control:

Set depositor and betting limits for a month.
Predict all interesting games that you would bet on anyway for the whole month.
So all 1st half btts bets in the Bundesliga.
The bets I mentioned above.
Champions League bets etc.
You just have to give it some thought.
Of course, there are clear disadvantages, no up-to-date information, no live betting in interesting situations, possibly no Bonuses, etc.

But you have a fixed budget and "have to" take the wins (or overall reduced losses 😄) because of the betting limit...

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Elite

Butterbrezel

Topic Creator

Forum posts: 3.501 Member since: 06.06.2020

Sports betting tips 2024

18th Oct. 2024, at 10:01 am CEST#4616

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So, back to normal football.

I found a lot of X-tendencies for the weekend. I'll try that this weekend. If my Xs go wrong again, I'll shelve this "betting system".

Here we go:

Buzau - Sibiu - X for 3,00
Cluj - Otelul - X for 3.00
Bari - Catanzaro - X for 3,05

All 3 singles and in a combination of 3.

For Guingamp - Pau the odds for an Over 2.5 are very good at 1.90, I'll play them.
For Darmstadt - Cologne, scoring both should be easy at 1.45.

I also try both games with a 1st half both scoring (3.40 and 4.40) individually and in a 2-match combination.

A Hertha win at 2.0 is attractive, although of course with risk.

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Elite

Butterbrezel

Topic Creator

Forum posts: 3.501 Member since: 06.06.2020

Sports betting tips 2024

18th Oct. 2024, at 10:13 am CEST#4617

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Stromberg wrote on 18.10.2024 at 09:53:

Haha, yes that's true. I still play these 1.hz btts too...

Only after the goal you'd have to hang up your sports betting shoes.

I've even expanded my portfolio of "lottery bets".
One is the German-Danish friendly bet on Friday evening, which includes a combination of 1st, 2nd and 3rd BL plus the game in the Danish Superliga (i.e. the Friday games) all over 2.5 goals.

On Saturdays and Sundays there is the Germany bet, also known as the people's bet.
This includes a combination on Saturday and Sunday of all 1st and 2nd division matches on the respective day, all over 2.5 goals...

I have 2 models in mind for the future as to how I might continue with betting.

I've often tried depositing €100 at xy and sticking to single bets with what I think is value. Just as a test. But I have no discipline for it. At the latest when the first 2 bets are lost, the combination comes to get back into the plus (theoretically😄). Even if I've made 600 from €200 plus a €100 bonus, I'm often too undisciplined to wager the money with single bets and take a sure win. 😂

Project one is therefore: Deposit 100€ at bookie xy, one without betting tax, write tips here again (for the reason that I then take the trouble to research sensibly) and play my own tips at the bookie. Play combos etc elsewhere.
Just to test how it works with single bets that have been researched sensibly at my own discretion.

The other idea is more in the direction of self-control:

Set depositor and betting limits for a month.
Predict all interesting games that you would bet on anyway for the whole month.
So all 1st half btts bets in the Bundesliga.
The bets I mentioned above.
Champions League bets etc.
You just have to give it some thought.
Of course there are clear disadvantages, no up-to-date information, no live betting in interesting situations, possibly no Bonuses, etc.

But you have a fixed budget and "have to" take the wins (or overall reduced losses 😄) because of the betting limit...

That sounds like a lot of planning, but also a lot of time.
When I was still doing Plus, I also took a lot of time, planned, calculated value, single bets, no live bets, etc.

The basis for this is simply the desire to do it and discipline.

I currently invest very little time in the hobby in comparison. But that is also reflected in the figures.
This year with fun - or emotional bills is mostly in the red. Just with the gambler's hope that one of these "all over 2.5" tickets or a nice X-combination will hit at some point.

But of course the minus is all within the planned framework.

Maybe I'll be more interested in "professional" betting again in the future, but not at the moment.

Good luck if you go through with it

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Elite

Olli_Eule

Forum posts: 3.652 Member since: 15.10.2020

Sports betting tips 2024

18th Oct. 2024, at 10:14 am CEST#4618

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America mG had odds of 1.66 and yet only drew.

But you could feel it live that it would end in a draw.

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Legend

Stromberg

Forum posts: 4.647 Member since: 17.07.2017

Sports betting tips 2024

18th Oct. 2024, at 10:36 am CEST#4619

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Butterbrezel wrote on October 18, 2024 at 10:13 am:
That sounds like a lot of planning, but also a lot of time.
When I was still doing Plus, I also took a lot of time, planned, calculated value, single bets, no live bets, etc.

The basis for this is simply the desire to do it and discipline.

I currently invest very little time in the hobby in comparison. But that is also reflected in the figures.
This year with fun - or emotional bills is mostly in the red. Just with the gambler's hope that one of these "all over 2.5" tickets or a nice X-combination will hit at some point.

But of course the minus is all within the planned framework.

Maybe I'll be more interested in "professional" betting again in the future, but not at the moment.

Good luck if you go through with it

It's not that much work now.

At most one Tip to post per day researching idea 1.

For idea 2, just a little more work once, but then nothing for the rest of the month.

Due to a lack of discipline, I've already ruled out the idea of permanently posting only value tips 😄. I don't find it fun either. Maybe it's a consequence of all the gambling, but I'm not happy about betting €10 and getting €20 out of it... 🤷 I always write value with stomach ache, it's often in the eye of the beholder. To really find bets where you can statistically prove value requires a lot of work and should deliver limited results, the bookie also has the statistics and can certainly evaluate them even better...

The idea of betting a month in advance has a big catch I just noticed. You can change your limit after 7 days...
So the whole thing works more for a week, but it would be worth a try...

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Elite

Patizi

Forum posts: 3.735 Member since: 13.10.2018

Sports betting tips 2024

18th Oct. 2024, at 11:47 am CEST#4620

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Stromberg wrote on 18.10.2024 at 10:36 am:

Not that much work now either.

At most one Tip to post per day researching idea 1.

For idea 2, just a little more work once, but then nothing for the rest of the month.

Due to a lack of discipline, I've already ruled out the idea of permanently posting only value tips 😄. I don't find it fun either. Maybe it's a consequence of all the gambling, but I'm not happy about betting €10 and getting €20 out of it... 🤷 I always write value with a stomach ache, but it's often in the eye of the beholder. To really find bets where you can statistically prove value requires a lot of work and should deliver limited results, the bookie also has the statistics and can certainly evaluate them even better...

The idea of betting a month in advance has a big catch I just noticed. You can change your limit after 7 days...
So the whole thing works more for a week, but it would be worth a try...

Working once more and then not the rest will definitely not work as you wouldn't have the odds for November now, for example. So if you started today, you wouldn't be able to plan and type a month in advance. Sure ok, you could plan everything yourself by going through the fixtures and betting everything when it's there, but if you plan something today for 3 weeks from now and then bet it in 3 weeks because the odds will only be there then, you will change one or two things because by then the team you want to bet on may have lost 3 times and so your idea is ruined because the team suddenly has a negative run.

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Legend

Stromberg

Forum posts: 4.647 Member since: 17.07.2017

Sports betting tips 2024

18th Oct. 2024, at 12:55 pm CEST#4621

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Patizi wrote on October 18, 2024 at 11:47 am:

Once more work and then not the rest will definitely not work because you would not have the odds for November now, for example. So if you started today, you wouldn't be able to plan and type a month in advance. Sure ok, you could plan everything yourself by going through the fixtures and betting everything when it's there, but if you plan something today for 3 weeks from now and then bet it in 3 weeks because the odds will only be there then, you will change one or two things because by then the team you want to bet on may have lost 3 times and so your idea is ruined because the team suddenly has a negative run.

That's right, you're right.

Somehow I was of the opinion that 3 or 4 match days in advance are already tipable, no idea how I came up with that, at most I can find the next week currently... 😄

Prepare and place later is also not an option, the concept is based on the fact that I can only place bets once with the planned budget and then no longer until the end of the period. If I only prepare the bets and reserve the budget, I'll use it up beforehand anyway 😂

So the whole safe would only be an option for a one-week period.

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Expert

Langhans_innen

Forum moderatorverified

Forum posts: 2.877 Member since: 22.01.2022

Sports betting tips 2024

18th Oct. 2024, at 01:37 pm CEST#4622

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A bit of tennis for today perhaps
Three-set predictions aren't always that easy, because sometimes it's only two close sets, but I'll try again. It can't go more wrong than that. At least one would be a small plus on balance. I can hardly see an advantage for anyone in either match...so they could actually go the full distance

18.30 hrs Griekspoor - Ruud +2.5 around 2.15 (Stockholm)
19.50 hrs Giron - Bergs +2.5 around 2.20 (Antwerp)

Lehecka - Tsitsipas (18.30, Antwerp, +2.5 for around 2.20) normally has similar conditions, but Tsitsipas was so weak against Thiago Seyboth Wild yesterday (7:5 in the third after match points against himself) that I'd rather leave him out today.

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Elite

Patizi

Forum posts: 3.735 Member since: 13.10.2018

Sports betting tips 2024

18th Oct. 2024, at 04:58 pm CEST#4623

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Stromberg wrote on 18.10.2024 at 12:55 pm:

That's right, you're right.

Somehow I was of the opinion that 3 or 4 match days in advance are already tipable, no idea how I came up with that, at most I can find the next week currently... 😄

Prepare and place later is also not an option, the concept is based on the fact that I can only place bets once with the planned budget and then no longer until the end of the period. If I only prepare the bets and reserve the budget, I'll use it up beforehand anyway 😂

So the whole safe would only be an option for a one-week period.

I've thought along the same lines, but unfortunately I also like to damage myself somehow with sports betting....

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Elite

Patizi

Forum posts: 3.735 Member since: 13.10.2018

Sports betting tips 2024

18th Oct. 2024, at 05:02 pm CEST#4624

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Oh well...

I'd love to hear your opinion:

Betano: Bet at least 20 on Bundesliga and receive 10 euros free bet.

At first I wanted to make a combination for the weekend but then decided to create a bet-builder on Dortmund today. Not because I'm impatient but because I think it's realistic.

Dortmund win
Over 3.5 goals in the game
Guirassy scores

Odds 3.6

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Elite

T0uchTheSky

Forum posts: 2.420 Member since: 09.05.2018

Sports betting tips 2024

18th Oct. 2024, at 05:13 pm CEST#4625

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At DAZNBET there is 20 Euro as a freebet, maybe personalized!

"After the international break last week, the leather is now rolling again in the domestic league.

Tonight, BVB can try to pick up important points against the clear underdogs St. Pauli.

There's definitely something in it for you, because if you lose your first bet at the weekend, we'll refund your bet (up to €20) as a free bet.

The freebet is available for all sports with minimum odds of 2.00 and is valid for 7 days. The following further highlights (all matches live on DAZN) are waiting for you:"

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Expert

Langhans_innen

Forum moderatorverified

Forum posts: 2.877 Member since: 22.01.2022

Sports betting tips 2024

18th Oct. 2024, at 05:30 pm CEST#4626

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Patizi wrote on 18.10.2024 at 17:02: Achso...

Dortmund win
Over 3.5 goals in the game
Guirassy scores

Odds 3.6

At Bet365 today similar Betbuilder as booster on offer: Dortmund HZ/final score + Guirassy scores for 4.50. Would be a) more lucrative and b) more likely, as odds +3.5 goals = 2.20 and BVB HZ/EE 1.80

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