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Sport betting tips: Sports betting tips 2024 (Page 300)

Topic created on 01st Jan. 2024 | Page: 300 of 360 | Answers: 5,393 | Views: 229,806
Langhans_innen
Expert

Stromberg wrote on 09.10.2024 at 09:44:

Of course it is also conceivable, if you have a high reach, to get as many people as possible to bet on Tip A so that the odds for tip B increase.

With the readers of a sports betting tip site with the reach we are talking about here, you can hardly move any odds. The market is far too large and liquid for that.

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Stromberg
Legend
Langhans_innen wrote on 09.10.2024 09:58:

With the readers of a sports betting Tip site with the reach we're talking about here, you can hardly move any odds. The market is far too big and liquid for that.

Probably not worth mentioning. But that's somehow the only reason I can think of.


A bookmaker could still pay for it (with enormous imagination), but even then, the bets would probably still be distributed fairly evenly in the crowd (according to the odds) and he would make his normal margin, as with almost every game.

Edit: okay, I now understand what Olli means.
You have registered with Affiliate xy and this affiliate is not remunerated at a flat rate but according to customer results.
Therefore, there are false betting tips that the newly registered customer is supposed to use and thus ends up directly in the loss, which means remuneration for the affiliate partner...
But this is also a very short-term solution, if it works at all.
You'll probably have to keep pulling up new sites that are not yet known for always giving false tips...

Long-standing sites will probably not work like this.

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Butterbrezel
Elite
If you deliberately publish wrong tips, that would mean that you know the correct result. So it's nonsense, because it's a game of chance. And as the previous CL and BL matchday showed, no matter how much you research and analyze statistics, the result is played out on the pitch.

It would only make sense if the Affiliate, who profits from losses, posts bets without value. Then there are correct tips in the short term, but in the long term this is what is normal - a loss for the player.

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Langhans_innen
Expert

Stromberg wrote on 09.10.2024 at 10:11 am:
Probably not worth mentioning. But that's somehow the only reason I can think of.


A bookmaker could still pay for it (with enormous imagination), but even there it would apply that in the crowd the bets are probably still distributed fairly evenly (according to the odds) and he makes his normal margin, as with almost every game.



I know this more from the stock market, where it can work for a few hours with illiquid stocks in the penny stock segment. In the morning, a piece of information is disseminated saying something like "There will be news about a new major investor later today".... Then all it takes is a handful of small investors to pull up a Dot.com stock (comparable to 3rd division Bulgaria) on a stock exchange from 2 cents to 5 cents...... then a few larger packages hit the market and by the afternoon everything collapses again. I think that's out of the question in the sports betting sector, or at least on a worthwhile scale, but I'm not an insider either

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slotliebe89
Elite

Butterbrezel wrote on 09.10.2024 at 10:21 am: If you deliberately publish wrong tips, that would mean that you know the correct result. So it's nonsense, because it's a game of chance. And as the previous CL and BL matchday showed, no matter how much you research and evaluate statistics - the result is played out on the pitch.

That's the crucial point in the story.

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Olli_Eule
Elite

Butterbrezel wrote on 09.10.2024 at 10:21: If you deliberately publish wrong tips, that would mean that you know the correct result. So it's nonsense, because it's a game of chance. And as the previous CL and BL matchday showed, no matter how much you research and evaluate statistics - the result is played out on the pitch.

It would only make sense if the Affiliate, who profits from losses, posts bets without value. Then there are correct tips in the short term, but in the long term what is normal - a loss for the player.

That's what they said in this podcast.

That they only get commission if the players make losses. That also sounds logical.

But that they claim that false tips are then written, well, that also sounds strange.

Or maybe they mean tips with high risk.
Or tips on outsiders, maybe the people in the podcast have no idea themselves.

If I find it again, I can post it here.

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Patizi
Elite

Olli_Eule wrote on 09.10.2024 at 11:12 am:

That's what they said in this podcast.

That they only get commission when the players make losses. Sounds logical too.

But that they claim that false tips are then written, well, that also sounds strange.

Or maybe they mean tips with high risk.
Or tips on outsiders, maybe the people in the podcast have no idea themselves.

If I find it again, I can post it here.

But it's just not possible to post correct or incorrect tips before the event because you don't know the results. You simply can't deliberately give wrong tips, it's just not possible. In addition, you decide for yourself what to bet and what not to bet.

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Butterbrezel
Elite
With my current hit rate this year from the games posted, you could also think that the tips are deliberately wrong haha

But I have a feeling that I'll hit a BigWin this month (doesn't every gambler have that feeling?)

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Langhans_innen
Expert
This CONCACAF Nations League has real fire.
British Virgin Islands (at least you know them) - St. Kitts and Nevis
Away win rate of 1.17...I've never really heard or read this before...but at least now I've googled it: a federal island state in the Eastern Caribbean with 53,000 inhabitants. Boy, boy......and they are also the heavy favorites

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DieWunderharke5000
Top Member

Langhans_innen wrote on 09.10.2024 at 16:25: This CONCACAF Nations League has real fire.
British Virgin Islands (at least you know them) - St. Kitts and Nevis
Away win rate 1.17...I've really never heard or read this before..but at least I googled it now: a federal island state in the Eastern Caribbean with 53,000 inhabitants. Boy, boy......and they're also the heavy favorite

That's really cool. If you think about how many of the 53,000 are male, between 18-35 and play soccer. There aren't many left.

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Langhans_innen
Expert

DieWunderharke5000 wrote on 09.10.2024 18:13:

That's really cool. If you think about how many of the 53,000 are male, between 18-35 and then also play soccer. There aren't many left.

that's right, there's more to it....I haven't even seen it that demographically Anyone who seriously fiddles around in matches like that either has a clue or real cochones But I could also well imagine that Euli is quite familiar with the squad

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Stromberg
Legend

Langhans_innen wrote on 09.10.2024 at 18:20:

right, that comes in addition....I haven't even seen it that demographically Anyone who seriously fumbles around in such matches either has a clue or real cochones But I could well imagine that Euli is quite familiar with the troupe

In addition to big balls and expertise, you can also bet on something like this simply out of bullshit, a burgeoning urge to play and a lack of alternatives... Would see myself in this category... 😂

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Langhans_innen
Expert
Stromberg wrote on 09.10.2024 at 21:04:

In addition to big balls and expertise, you can also simply bet on something like this out of bullshit, a burgeoning urge to play and a lack of alternatives... Would see me in this category... 😂

I see...perhaps I could have elaborated on my meaning of "seriously fiddling around" to the extent that it also meant quite high amounts. However, if you were still in the game then, you would fit perfectly into the "man with balls" category with your urge to play without any alternative, even if I don't want to deny that you know anything about the CONCACAF Cup

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Patizi
Elite

Langhans_innen wrote on 09.10.2024 at 21:21:
I see...perhaps I could have elaborated on my meaning of "seriously fiddling around" to the extent that it also meant quite large amounts. However, if you were still in the game, you would fit perfectly into the category of "man with balls" with your urge to play without any alternative, even if I don't want to deny that you know anything about the CONCACAF Cup

I know soccer! It's just a question of how high the Leverkusen vs. Holstein Kiel game goes! Crap, 2:2! And that even though you know the players and the team...there was Bayern against Leverkusen...hmm...there will be a lot of goals. I also know the team...crap, 1:1....Okey...but now my knowledge must bear fruit. Stuttgart vs. Hoffenheim, I know the teams. Clear 1...damn...1:1...and that despite the fact that I know the team and actually think I have a clue...


Maybe it doesn't matter whether it's the Bundesliga or CONCACAF. Whoever places higher bets with the results in the league must have balls....

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JJepsa96
Rookie

Butterbrezel wrote on 09.10.2024 at 15:30: With my current hit rate this year from the games posted, you could also think that the tips are deliberately wrong haha

But I have a feeling that I'll hit a BigWin this month (doesn't every gambler have that feeling?)

i've lost that feeling lately, but I haven't lost hope yet.

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