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Sport betting tips: Sports betting tips 2024 (Page 159)

Topic created on 01st Jan. 2024 | Page: 159 of 337 | Answers: 5,052 | Views: 211,854
Dr-Strange
Top Member

Butterbrezel wrote on 09.06.2024 at 14:03: I found 3 very interesting games in the Norwegian 2nd league today.

Mjondalen - Ranheim
Sogndal - Egersund
Valerenga - Moss

The league is known for a lot of goals anyway.

I play the 3 games with an over 2.5 regular time and in a 2/3 combo 1st half over 1.5.
The two 17:00 games additionally in a 1st half both score for a great 12 odds.

Thanks for your assessment

Dr-Strange

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Butterbrezel
Elite

Dr-Strange wrote on 09.06.2024 at 19:12:

Thanks for your assessment

Butterbrezel

That's exactly right, congratulations

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Langhans_innen
Expert

Olli_Eule wrote on 09.06.2024 18:46:

that's why from next year I'll always try to guess the 5 games correctly at night. So that I don't have to wait the next day until the combination is through.


Now I just have to hold out until the European Championship and take a break from betting

Well, hang in there, owl


Alcaraz also 3:2 through, by the way. Victory Alcaraz & +3.5 sets to 2.20 therefore also.
He's a machine....he's not even really sweating after 4.5 hours I think he could easily go "best of seven"...

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Olli_Eule
Elite

Langhans wrote on 09.06.2024 at 17:50:
this is exactly the reason why you should not play such a large combination, but choose a bet size that you yourself consider realistic - albeit with increased risk.

The problem with small combos is that you can't make a profit in the long term.


If I bet 2 euros and then win 30 euros .

That's no good at all, because the 30 euros are quickly lost again.

I've tried that several times this year, but all I get is plus minus zero.

Small combos with small bets are pointless.

Either high bets with small combos.
Or hit lower bets and high combos

But I will never bet 10 euros.

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Langhans_innen
Expert
Olli_Eule wrote on 10.06.2024 at 10:24:

The problem with small combos is that you can't make a plus in the long run.


If I put in 2 euros and then win 30 euros .

That's no good at all, because the 30 euros are quickly lost again.

I've tried that several times this year, but all I get is plus minus zero.

Small combos with small bets are pointless.

Either high bets with small combos.
Or hit lower bets and high combos

But I will never bet 10 euros.

I don't know why €30 is quickly lost again if, as in your example, you've previously made €30 from €2, but somehow I think we've reached a point where it's clear that our two views of sports betting will never correspond . The approaches and goals are simply too different, but that's not a problem: everyone does it differently and if I regularly place single bets at odds of 1.50, others are sure to think: "what does this guy want with the few euros of win...that's not worth it at all". For me, it's worth it if there's more in the till at the end than before. It doesn't have to be huge sums, but in the end I can't buy anything for betting slips with high odds that only give me a big win in theory, but which can rarely be realized My goal is a stable, contemplative profit margin and I always achieve that goal. We'll rock the boat, owl...you like this, me like this and the next one like this

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frapi07
Elite

Langhans wrote on 10.06.2024 at 11:21 am:
I don't know why €30 is quickly lost again if, as in your example, you have previously made €30 from €2, but somehow I think we are also at a point where it is clear: our two views of sports betting will never correspond . The approaches and goals are simply too different, but that's not a problem: everyone does it differently and if I regularly place single bets at odds of 1.50, others are sure to think: "what does this guy want with the few euros of win...that's not worth it at all". For me, it's worth it if there's more in the till at the end than before. It doesn't have to be huge sums, but in the end I can't buy anything for betting slips with high odds that only give me a big win in theory, but which can rarely be realized My goal is a stable, contemplative profit margin and I always achieve that goal. We'll rock the boat, owl...you like this, me like this and the next one like this

I understand your approach, but risking €10 for a €5 win is a waste of time in my eyes. You can't even buy a kebab with that €5 these days. Even 1.5 odds often go bust, in my experience. You usually have a 50-70% win rate.

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Langhans_innen
Expert
frapi07 wrote on 10.06.2024 at 12:16 pm:

Understand your approach, but risking 10€ for 5€ win is a waste of time in my eyes. You can't even buy a kebab with that €5 these days. Even 1.5 odds often go bust, in my experience. You usually have a 50-70% win rate.

As I wrote: everyone does it differently and estimates it differently. However, I can't see any waste of time for me when I watch a tennis match and earn €5. Afterwards, I watch another one and if it goes well, I can not only get a kebab in the evening, but also chips and a beer It's extremely important to me that I don't end up with a minus - then every kebab would get stuck in my throat I don't see it as an expense, but as an activity that I really enjoy. If I even get something for it, then everything is wonderful.

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Donnie
Elite

frapi07 wrote on 10.06.2024 at 12:16 pm:

Understand your approach, but risking 10€ for 5€ win is a waste of time in my eyes. You can't even buy a kebab with that €5 these days. Even 1.5 odds often go bust, in my experience. You usually have a 50-70% win rate.

But you could also play your way up with small odds first and then take the big odds again. There are games where you are very sure that something will happen, e.g. that a goal will be scored in a soccer match or something similar. There are also games where I would theoretically bet a million with low odds

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frapi07
Elite
Langhans wrote on June 10th, 2024 at 12:39 pm:
As I wrote: everyone does it differently and values it differently. However, I can't see any waste of time for me if I watch a tennis match in comfort and earn €5 in the process. Afterwards, I watch another one and if it goes well, I can not only get a kebab in the evening, but also chips and a beer It's extremely important to me that I don't end up with a minus - then every kebab would get stuck in my throat I don't see it as an expense, but as an activity that I really enjoy. If I even get something for it, then everything is wonderful.

i didn't want to say that there's a right/wrong answer, I just wanted to give you my input on why I think small bets don't make sense.

I always see it in relation to the minimum wage. For €5 I would have to work just under 25 minutes, but Risk the equivalent of 50 minutes of "work". Is that worth it? No, if you take the risk into account. The risk remains the same with a 1.5Q, even if you invest €10 or €100. So for the same risk, you would have made a win of €50. You can do something with €50.

Yes, that may be the difference. You don't see it as an expense. I do, because in the event of a loss, I have to go to work to recoup it. I don't see betting as a hobby, I'm purely interested in profit.

Donnie wrote on June 10th, 2024 at 12:45 pm:

But you could also play your way up with small odds first and then take the big odds again. There are games where you are very sure that something will happen, e.g. that a goal will be scored in a soccer match or something similar. There are also games where I would theoretically bet a million with low odds

Yes, there are enough bets. Over 0.5 goals are often quoted at 1.2. The problem here, however, is that you have to win 5 times in a row to double your capital (if you always play a fixed amount and not fixed amount + win). Everyone should decide for themselves which is better. 1x ne 2Q (with max 2 bets) or 5x 1.2Q. I prefer one bet.

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Langhans_innen
Expert
frapi07 wrote on 10.06.2024 at 13:23:
I do, because in the event of a loss, I have to go to work to recoup it.


The good thing about the betting business is that you may have to recoup lost money - as you rightly write - by other means (usually through work) if you are dependent on it like us as normal consumers, but conversely you also have to work less if you earn money betting Since all this stuff with looking for bets, analyzing, calculating, comparing, hedging etc. is a lot of fun for me, it is not an expense, but a paid hobby. I do quasi official quarterly accounts, although of course I also calculate to the day, and then on 30.06. it will be clear to me in black and white whether I have to rework or not
A comment on one of your previous posts, when you referred to the dangers of betting even at relatively small odds: if you consistently only get 50% of your picks on 1.5 odds, you should refrain from betting if you can't afford it, because then it can get really expensive. I'm not talking about you, but about people in general. Not everyone is cut out for betting for various reasons and simply shooting at it very, very rarely leads to success. However, I think that most of the people here in the sports section know a lot about the subject matter, although everyone has their own small, alternative focuses in addition to soccer

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MisterL
Expert

Olli_Eule wrote on 10.06.2024 at 10:24:
But I will never bet 10 euros.

you also have to go "all in" sometimes

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frapi07
Elite

Langhans wrote on 10.06.2024 at 13:45:

The good thing about the betting business is that although you may have to recoup lost money - as you rightly write - by other means (usually through work) if you are dependent on it like us as normal consumers, conversely you also have to work less if you earn money betting Since I really enjoy all this stuff with looking for bets, analyzing, calculating, comparing, hedging etc., it is, as I said, not an expense, but a paid hobby. I do quasi official quarterly accounts, although of course I also calculate to the day, and then on 30.06. it will be clear to me in black and white whether I have to rework or not
A comment on one of your previous posts, when you referred to the dangers of betting even at relatively small odds: if you consistently only get 50% of your picks on 1.5 odds, you should refrain from betting if you can't afford it, because then it can get really expensive. I'm not talking about you, but about people in general. Not everyone is cut out for betting for various reasons and simply shooting at it very, very rarely leads to success. However, I think that most of the people here in the sports section know a lot about the subject matter, although everyone has their own small, alternative focuses in addition to soccer

I enjoyed it too, but then it turned from fun to serious and was a bit addictive. I mean, I wasn't so addicted that I would have gambled away my house and yard, but my everyday life consisted of just waiting for me to finish work so that I could bet at home. This time of the season was the worst, because the European leagues were all suspended. Like you said, I'm not suited to gambling in the long term. I get triggered too easily. Even with the slots. With my last big win, I only wanted to double €500. I was then €800 in the red and deposited another €1050 out of frustration. If it had gone wrong, I would have lost almost €2000 in a few hours. That's why it's not for me to make such small contributions. I'd rather bet 500-1000€ once, double it and then be satisfied with the win for a while instead of satisfying this addiction with 10€/day every day. As a result, I was able to stop the craving almost completely. Of course, there are days when I still Deposit something, but nowhere near as much as before. Incidentally, I wouldn't recommend soccer either, if you have the time and are interested in basketball/tennis, then these are the bets that bring in the most, because there is no stupid draw.

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Langhans_innen
Expert
frapi07 wrote on 10.06.2024 at 15:12:

I enjoyed it too, but then it turned from fun to serious and was a bit addictive. I mean, not so addicted that I would have gambled away my house and yard, but my everyday life was just waiting for me to finish work so that I could bet at home. This time of the season was the worst, because the European leagues were all suspended. Like you said, I'm not suited to gambling in the long term. I get triggered too easily. Even with the slots. With my last big win, I only wanted to double €500. I was then €800 in the red and deposited another €1050 out of frustration. If it had gone wrong, I would have lost almost €2000 in a few hours. That's why it's not for me to make such small contributions. I'd rather bet 500-1000€ once, double it and then be satisfied with the win for a while instead of satisfying this addiction with 10€/day every day. As a result, I was able to stop the craving almost completely. Of course, there are days when I still Deposit something, but nowhere near as much as before. Incidentally, I wouldn't recommend soccer either, if you have the time and are interested in basketball/tennis, then these are the bets that bring in the most, because there is no stupid draw.

The highest bet I ever placed was €740. Friendly soccer match (I'm an idiot!) Brazil - Uruguay, I think. Odds 1.35. I even wanted to bet €1,000, but was limited. Watched at night with a drunken head, easily led 2:0, lost 2:3. Went to bed completely destroyed with the thought "Never again". Got up in the morning...threw every "never again" overboard...Had deposited €1,000, so €260 left over. Of which €250 on ice hockey DEL draw...Noon 2.30 pm...I don't remember the game (I think Düsseldorfer EG was involved)...odds either. Was probably 15 or 20 years ago back then.... Ended in a draw. Money back in, but from then on and to this day, my motto was: NEVER AGAIN THOSE HARAKIRI ACTIONS. That cured me.

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frapi07
Elite

Langhans wrote on 10.06.2024 at 15:40:
Highest bet I ever placed was 740€. Friendly soccer match (idiot me!) Brazil - Uruguay, I think. Odds 1.35. Even wanted to bet €1,000, but was limited. Watched at night with a drunken head, easily led 2:0, lost 2:3. Went to bed completely destroyed with the thought "Never again". Got up in the morning...threw every "never again" overboard...Had deposited €1,000, so €260 left over. Of which €250 on ice hockey DEL draw...Noon 2.30 pm...I don't remember the game (I think Düsseldorfer EG was involved)...odds either. Was probably 15 or 20 years ago back then.... Ended in a draw. Money back in, but from then on and to this day, my motto was: NEVER AGAIN THOSE HARAKIRI ACTIONS. That cured me.

Of course you don't forget something like that I've also experienced a few cases like that I don't miss that at all - the ups and downs

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Langhans_innen
Expert
frapi07 wrote on 10.06.2024 at 16:18:

Of course you don't forget something like that I've also experienced a few such cases I don't miss that at all - this up and down

Yes, I haven't forgotten either and something triggered it. I seem to remember that I couldn't really be happy that it went well again during ice hockey because I was so annoyed with myself and my loss of control twice in just a few hours. At some point, I took a break from everything for about 10 years. Ok, stop...there was one more incident that went in a similar direction and I've just looked it up again in my list: 03.07.20 it escalated again in the casino area: 100 in/200 in/100 in/200 in/200 in => 800 in one evening at Energy Casino. It wouldn't have ended there either, and more shots were fired. In the end I turned to €4, I can still remember Rise of Olympus well. But then the box dropped €1,352 and I suddenly woke up from this delusional movie. 1.i paid out €400 and stopped. That was really the very last time I was out of control and could only be explained by the fact that neither of these things resulted in a loss. Shortly afterwards, I started keeping detailed statistics to avoid such blackouts. Maybe that's why I've become a bit weird and overly meticulous

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