Sport betting tips: Sports betting tips 2022 (Page 339)

Wutmaennchen wrote on 12.06.2022 at 16:37
Odds I play with few exceptions (if I have e.g. Bock on goal bets) only from 3.0. Mostly just X.
At odds below 2 is the value find more difficult from my point of view.
With my X-bets, the value is just much easier to find.

The base probability is yes at 33% (win / draw / defeat), so hold a fair odds 3.03.
If I then find a game in which I estimate a 40% draw probability, I already have a value odds from the base.
Mostly, the odds are then but also over 3, so I have a really good value odds.

And with odds above 3, a 33% hit rate is enough to make a small win. With favorite bets, e.g. with 1.8 odds, you need a hit rate of 56% for cashback.

I am eig. n fan of single bets.
But I've calculated once. If I had used a little more and still ne system combo to my X-bets would have taken,
the win would have been much higher, because I have often hit 4/5 or 5/6 or 6/9.
Therefore, I have decided from July 2022 to play my single bets additionally in a system combo.

So if I have e.g. 6 X to choose from I play 6 single bets and additionally with the same games still a 3/6 system.
With 7 games just a 4/7 and with 8 games a 5/8.

If we assume an average odds of 3.3 and a stake per bet of 10.00 EUR (everyone does it differently)
and 10,00 EUR for the 3 out of 6 system combination, we have 70 EUR stake.

0/6 hit = -70 EUR net
1/6 hit = -37 EUR net
2/6 hits = cashback
3/6 hit = +47 EUR net
4/6 hits = +188 EUR net
5/6 hit = +274 EUR net
6/6 hit = +487 EUR net

Realistic for X is 1/3 or 2/6 or 3/9, but if you hit well you can get good wins.

But X is also difficult, because there can be long loss phases. My longest loose series was 17 games wrong.
There is the money management and patience then again very important.

So in answer to your question:

Quote from 3.0, single bets and additionally a 3/5, 3/6, 4/7, 5/8, 6/9 system.

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Patizi wrote on 12.06.2022 at 17:13
Ok I read from it that one should already take at least 5 games where 2 errors may be in it and everything over it with 3 errors.

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Wutmaennchen wrote on 06/12/2022 at 18:08
Exactly. With odds over 3 you always have to factor in the errors.

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Rainmann wrote on 12.06.2022 at 17:53: CR7 and bride today 2 goals 😁 Portugal and Norway over 1.5 goals

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Rainmann wrote on 12.06.2022 at 17:53: CR7 and bride today 2 goals 😁 Portugal and Norway over 1.5 goals

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Rainmann wrote on 12/06/2022 at 20:27
Yes unfortunately, CR7 does not seem to play . Had but still single Erling shoots a goal in the first half 👍 was a super game of both. Not such a gurke what our elf currently brings to the field

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