Sport betting tips: Community betting tips (Page 11)

Lionking wrote on 03.05.2024 at 18:18: So basically it's just about getting 3 relatively "safe" tips through to collect the zwanni and not to bring anyone closer to sports betting or to present tips with more Risk, ergo better odds, from which non-authors might also benefit.

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Stromberg wrote on 03.05.2024 at 18:43:

Believe it or not, that's not my primary concern.

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frapi07 wrote on 03.05.2024 at 18:24:
It's just an incentive. It would be wrong to say that you don't do it for the coins.


But it annoys me a little at the moment. I'd give Roma-Juve under 2.5 as a community Tip, but I can't find anything over 1.59. What's the point of giving an extra tip? Really unnecessary and a shame.

I'm not much too late either. The game takes place on Sunday...

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Patizi wrote on 03.05.2024 at 19:25:

Yeah but there are hundreds of games, then you just pick another one. 😂 Why stick to one game? 😂 Or just write the Tip in the thread if you really want to get rid of it. It's not like you don't have the opportunity to just bang out your tip. You can also bet on it with the betting provider. 😂

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Patizi wrote on 03.05.2024 at 19:32: By the way, I'd like to mention my example regarding Düsseldorf and single bets again. Already 2:0 at the break.
At 1 euro bet, that's shitty odds. Still not great at 10. At 100 euros it's much better and at 1000 euros bet that's a nice 380 euros.
The size of the bet can also make small odds attractive. That's why I think that the bet determines very strongly whether an odds is interesting.

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frapi07 wrote on 03.05.2024 at 19:47:
I'm not getting stuck on a bet, but was just another example of how sometimes there's not much to bet on. As a Juve fan, I can assess Juve a little.

What else can you bet at under 2.5? There's hardly anything. What I find awesome: the odds for Roma over 0.5 goals are 1.44. That's for a defensive team like Juve, mind you...

Alternatively, you could bet on the winner. It's just not worth it because both currently exceed the minimum odds by more than 1 at 2.7/2.8.

I wanted to show that there are matches that are not suitable as community bets - and only because of the current rules.

It would be different if I could combine this bet + another bet.

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frapi07 wrote on 03.05.2024 at 19:55:

Nobody denies that the low odds become more worthwhile with a higher bet. But this is not about the private tips that you place yourself. It's about writing the tips. It's simply a fact that currently only "both score" or "over 2.5" tips are predominantly submitted. That's just uninteresting and boring. I was hoping for more choice, especially for the CL games. Instead, 2 tips have just been submitted. We're talking about the CL semi-final here.

The reason for this is also clear: nobody is stupid enough to take more than the minimum odds. The majority of authors submit community tips because they are hoping for a small reward. That's also a fact.

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Patizi wrote on 03.05.2024 at 20:09:

Hä...so first of all Roma have scored twice as many goals as home games and Juve have also conceded an average of one goal away from home. It smells a lot like a Roma goal.


You just pay too much attention to odds. You're not betting anything here. And if you place a community Tip with odds of 10, what's the problem? If it comes then it comes. If you've also played it with the betting Provider, all the better

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Patizi wrote on 03.05.2024 at 20:17:
My private tips are also the ones I recommend here plus other things I type. I give here what is most likely for me from what I pick out. But I will repeat myself again, I think that most bets of all bets that are played in the world are placed on over/under and both. These are absolutely common bets and also something I personally bet on very often.

How were your written suggestions regarding the Champions League and co? I'll have a look at what you wrote about the 8 games. I'm curious.

Ok, I've had a look. You didn't write anything. These are the semi-finals after all. There's so much to write about. You can easily get the 150 words together here. I really expected more from you apart from the moaning, what a shame!

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frapi07 wrote on 03.05.2024 at 20:25:

I think you're looking at the wrong numbers....

Juve current season 2023/24:

- GA (Goal Against) 26th highest in the league.
- Allegri is the record holder with the most 1-0 wins in Serie A
- Juve easily have 21 games out of 34 this season that ended 0-0 at half-time
- juve have not scored in 2/3 of their last games (the last 3 games are important to me)


Rome current season 2023/24

- Back in form since GDR
- Roma have the 3rd/4th best offense in Serie A with 61 GF (Goal For)
- Roma played in the EL this week and therefore have more minutes in their bones
- Roma have only won 1/3 of their last games, but have scored at least 1 goal here


It's certainly not as certain as you say. Lukaku has hardly scored any goals in Serie A. It's Dybala. I don't think Dybala has scored a goal against Juve yet. His departure was almost 2 years ago.

Yes, I'm putting the winning streak on the line here.

i agree that you don't bet money directly, but what do most authors write their tips for? Exactly, to get 3 winning streaks and the corresponding reward.

Why didn't anyone bet on the outright winner of the CL semi-finals? Did nobody have time or what?

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Patizi wrote on 03/05/2024 20:47:
What are those stats? 2/3 of the last games? They even conceded 2 in 2 of the last 3 games. Roma haven't scored for the first time since the beginning of April, otherwise they always score. Who cares who scores the goals? And Lukaku only has 2 less than Dybala. Thought you had a clue. Juve haven't won away from home in over 3 months. 3 draws and 4 losses. So you don't need to try to tell me about the Juve fan here anymore. 😂


Why are you putting the winning streak at Risk? If you're giving the Tip you're so convinced of. I'll give you a tip now. You say Juve could win this? Then go for x2+Under 2.5. You don't think Roma can do anything anyway and you don't expect many goals. Best bet for you.

Regarding the semi-final tips, if you had written something about it, there would have been one more tip per game. Write something yourself and not just hope and demand.

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frapi07 wrote on 03.05.2024 at 21:23:
You can't use long-term stats for one game. You can see why with Juve.

Extremely good at the beginning of the season, were even in the title fight and now a little slumped. What's the point of the last 10-15 games? A lot has happened. You're welcome to use the statistics from the last 10 games. I won't do it. Even a team has its highs and lows (HSV cough cough).

Even if Lukuaku only has 2 less - Dybala is currently the top scorer. Also because he scores the penalties.

Of course I'm a Juve fan. Has little to do with my analysis. I just know that the probability of scoring under 2.5 goals is high because Allegri plays anti-football. If I wasn't a Juve fan, for example, I wouldn't know that there are a lot of critics shouting #allegriout. I watch Youtube videos etc. It's just a shame that I can't give this as a community tip.

Ultimately, it could be 4-4 on Sunday. Statistics don't tell you how an event will turn out, but how high/low the probability is that certain events will occur. If I were 100% sure and only believed in statistics, then I would bet my house and wife on certain events.

No, I also trust Juve to win 0-0, 1-0 or 1-1. I don't trust them to win. I trust them to get an under 2.5. Your suggestion is what I want to bet on, but I have to take extra risk. Actually, I would only bet under 2.5.

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