Sports betting in general: General sports betting thread 2021 (Page 8)

Falko wrote on 09.09.2019 at 22:17: Would I have enough money, then I would only conclude single bets with low odds these games where the probability is as good as certain that nothing goes wrong. But with stakes of 10 to 20 euros, you can unfortunately earn nothing with single bets and that's the dilemma.1000 euros on 1 bet with odds of 1.3, you would have already earned 300 alone.

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Seniorfips wrote on 09/09/2019 at 22:36
at 1.3 odds you have a 77% probability of winning. since the bookmaker has an average odds ratio of 95%, this 77% probability of winning drops again. That is, every 4th bet will be lost on average, but you would need 4 wins at the same stake to go out with +. so it's not worth it in the long run

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auswerlNRW wrote on 09/09/2019 at 22:56
What you calculate there, you can also close your eyes and tap with your finger on any quota... both types I guess as equally "easy"^^ Are you serious what you just said or calculated there...

and do you really think THIS is how a tippable game or odds are determined???? ehmm... nehhh, it's not that easy

This is such a typical case of have no idea but it could yet... all be so simple, ...we calculate here bischen + ....and there bischen - ...then maybe still by % ...é voilá -- Ergebniss: *all can't be*

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Seniorfips wrote on 09/09/2019 at 23:51
This is such a typical case of, you have to write some bullshit, because you are apparently not able to get that my contribution is only to explain why it is not so easy to play senseless small odds with high amounts of money... You will not make a win in the long run so



P.S: I hope, if you answer, not only some stupid sayings will come again, but a meaningful contribution from you. But I have long had the feeling that it is apparently "cool" at gamblejoe, irgendwenn without facts stupid to address...

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Gamble wrote on 09/10/2019 00:17 PM
All calculated correctly. 👍

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auswerlNRW wrote on 10/09/2019 at 00:43: First... some bet 5 years, the next 10, 20 or 30 years... and if you would run tomorrow times the betting offices of your city, you would certainly find many in any of these columns past... I make every bet that of 100 people who tell you I bet for x years... the 90% has never heard of probability theory and variances let alone explain them let alone could apply!!!
So the one has nothing to do with the other...

Your calculation of probability is worth absolutely ZERO, NIX, GAR NIX... would it be so simple even the stupidest would already be extremely successful ;-D

There are SO MANY DIFFERENT probability calculations that have to be changed for each application area or product...
On the subject of sports betting...

The subject is highly complex and extremely complicated, at least for me! I would do the devil to claim that I can calculate probabilities that must take into account as many factors as it must be the case in betting to get an approximately usable result... with which you are successful in the long term and keep variances small. To bring this finally still with the offered quota in agreement and to evaluate whether it can give a worthwhile bet (the offered quota perhaps even somewhat too positively precipitates or evenly not) is then probably mathematics master class! But neh... right, goes yes quite simply everything^^

To complete the last step, the reconcile and evaluate correctly as much information is needed as you can get (the factors that you let flow in are assigned by the one who makes the calculation approximate factors which are in turn used in formulas (the importance of the information flowing into the calculation such as... missing important players, are there injured / suspended players, statistics of the last few weeks, how is the weather, are there problems at the moment in the club, are there any problems within the club that could affect the players in the game finally and and and...)

In the meantime there are several help programs that shorten the calculation a bit and take a lot of work off your shoulders. But stop... what for? Is quite easy... stake * quota / 100 FERTIGGGG *mega facepalm *

So I've often times n hour or two dealt with such things, sometime then again half an hour... 2 weeks later again ne three quarters of an hour etc.... and that just to understand the basics.... BUT NEH, STIMMT, GEHT JA GANZ EINFACH: Einsatz * Quote / 100 FEEEERTIG ...... löl

At some point I come to a point that exceeds my mathematical skill I must say quite honestly, that's me then bischen complicated everything and then I give it up for the day again to teach myself how to perform such calculations correctly... until I'm motivated again to start a new attempt

This topic also includes sure bet calculations, value bet calculations etc...

but hey, what are they all thinking so much about, IT'S EASY: stake * odds / 100


--- link to competition removed --- ... so looks then times the introduction to the topic calculations of probabilities, exclude large variances, different bets calculations in reality from and what is here can be seen as an introduction for the introduction to the topic... absolute basic knowledge, because after that it gets more and more complicated and includes more and more formulas and noteworthy things for a noteworthy good result which is the goal at the end of the year why all this must be as accurate as possible... Unfortunately I can't think of the page that already provides a few calculated odds for each day... well, maybe I'll come up with it yet

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auswerlNRW wrote on 09/10/2019 01:31 AM

If you are ready to run a marathon and not win a 100m sprint I now post the links to a few people who caught my eye almost 4 or even already 5 years ago because they distinguished themselves FROM EVERYONE ELSE with openness, total transparency, any time approachable... almost more like buddies, not like people who run a buisness and still other positive qualities... where it's on's year seen a
!!!!! Win guarantee !!!!!

something like this I would NEVER say as a lifelong gambler^^ but in this one case I would even be liable with any property if it should not occur even once that at the end of the year REAL PROFITS HAVE COME IN (the amount of course has to do with the starting capital AND ESPECIALLY accurate implementation of the things that you pretend. (speak... not in between simply times the one or other bet make only for the reason because one day means one would have any intuitions etc.)
It is not complicated at all
There are also only a few rules... a certain bankroll management from which the stakes for each bet of a month are calculated (do not arbitrarily increase or decrease!!)
no own bets

... those are the two main rules, a few things they explain to you before you start and that's it!

Actually, I would have to collect for the Tip of each here from the forum 10 euro, MINIMUM; because you are always so stubborn and argumentative^^

--- Link to the betting communities removed ---

and the homepage

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So... and when we meet again in 2-3 years and each of you is driving around with a Porsche, don't forget me

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