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Sports betting in general: General sports betting thread 2021 (Page 555)

Topic created on 17th Aug. 2019 | Page: 555 of 600 | Answers: 5,996 | Views: 875,895
Anonym

General sports betting thread 2021

11th Nov. 2021, at 10:31 am CET#5598
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that was bad luck, Lietkabelis has underestimated Hamburg obviously heavily. 1. Third 23-33 was the crux
I myself will go to Slask - Badalona on December 21, if we are not locked up until then

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Anonym

General sports betting thread 2021

11th Nov. 2021, at 10:58 am CET#5599
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the ireland bet can be made. although i have belly shakes. If Ronaldo is in it,
then I wouldn't play it

regarding Lichtenstein
i don't know if he'll play, but if he does, that would be something

Leon Goretzka scores a goal at any time - Yes 1.85

Team 1 takes a penalty and scores 2.1

Own goal - Yes 4

Free kick goal - Yes 6


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Butterbrezel
Elite

General sports betting thread 2021

11th Nov. 2021, at 11:20 am CET#5600
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For the people who play the low odds, there should be eig. only Favo victories. There doesn't seem to be any team that "intentionally" doesn't want to go to this inhumane quararstrophic World Cup, they all seem to be trying to qualify.

Sweden in Georgia, Portugal in Ireland, Romania against Iceland.

combination of 3 gives 2.97 odds.

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Anonym

General sports betting thread 2021

11th Nov. 2021, at 11:53 am CET#5601
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How do you place your bets ?

I myself always make only 3 level units. Unlike the betting pros with their 10EH.

Basically flat, but slightly flexible. Still the best method in my opinion.

A combo like in the upper example would be 1EH for me, also all monster combos
always 1EH

with 200€ betting credit =
3 = 1EH
6 = 2 EH
9 = 3EH

What else to do, strictly separate sports and casino,

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Stromberg
Legend

General sports betting thread 2021

11th Nov. 2021, at 12:14 pm CET#5602
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I bet almost always a 10er and mostly 2er combos
If Bundesliga or Champions League is also sometimes 3s or 4s combos and 20 euros (at 20 euros I choose but then usually the supposedly safe quote, so then take the ü 2.5 instead of 3.5 for example)

Since I am not particularly disciplined, this bankroll management Ala 10 EH would not use me so much.
I prefer to pay out 100 or 150 in between when a few combos have worked out, than to somehow earn 50 euros plus at the end of the month. I would not have fun with it, even if it is probably safer in the long run

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Butterbrezel
Elite

General sports betting thread 2021

11th Nov. 2021, at 12:44 pm CET#5603
1 Like

Liked this post: Anonym
I have tried many deployment systems and it took me some time to find "my" right one that I am happy with.

It's not only about the stakes, but also about the wins and the type of bet.
Since I usually play only odds over 3.0 would make the unit model no sense. I already tried that. Was not cool.

In the past, I have always paid out my wins so to 80% / 90% and thus played with relatively low stakes.
Currently and in the future, I only have 50% of my wins paid out once a month, with 50% I continue to play and thus increase the stake.

I first set myself an annual budget and a monthly budget
The monthly budget does not have to be equal to /12, because one does not assume a total loss.
I use the factor /5.
If you really would lose 5 months in a row the complete budget, you should stop anyway

Example:

Budget per year: 1000,00 EUR
Budget per month: 200,00 EUR

My longest Loose series was once loose at 19 bills in a row. The whole x 2 and rounded up = 40.

200,00 EUR (monthly budget) / 40 (hypothetical loose series) = 5,00 EUR per bet.


Example 2:

I win over the whole month net 200,00 EUR. I pay out 100.00 EUR of this and increase my budget by 100.00 EUR in the following month.

200,00 EUR (basic budget) + 100,00 EUR (net profit minus payout) = 300,00 EUR / 40 = 7,50 EUR per bet

In case of net loss the stake goes down again, in case of net profit it goes up.
Due to the base budget, the bet does not go below 5.00 EUR.

Of course, discipline is again the basis here.


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Patizi
Elite

General sports betting thread 2021

11th Nov. 2021, at 12:52 pm CET#5604
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Wutmaennchen wrote on 11/11/2021 at 12:44 pm: I have tried many deployment systems and it took me some time to find "my" right one that I am happy with.

It is not only about the stakes, but also about the wins and the type of bet.
Since I usually play only odds over 3.0 would make the unit model no sense. I already tried that. Was not cool.

In the past, I have always paid out my wins so to 80% / 90% and thus played with relatively low stakes.
Currently and in the future, I only have 50% of my wins paid out once a month, with 50% I continue to play and thus increase the stake.

I first set myself an annual budget and a monthly budget
The monthly budget does not have to be equal to /12, because one does not assume a total loss.
I use the factor /5.
If you really would lose 5 months in a row the complete budget, you should stop anyway

Example:

Budget per year: 1000,00 EUR
Budget per month: 200,00 EUR

My longest Loose series was once loose at 19 bills in a row. The whole x 2 and rounded up = 40.

200,00 EUR (monthly budget) / 40 (hypothetical loose series) = 5,00 EUR per bet.


Example 2:

I win over the whole month net 200,00 EUR. I pay out 100.00 EUR of this and increase my budget by 100.00 EUR in the following month.

200,00 EUR (basic budget) + 100,00 EUR (net profit minus payout) = 300,00 EUR / 40 = 7,50 EUR per bet

In case of net loss the stake goes down again, in case of net profit it goes up.
Due to the base budget, the bet does not go below 5.00 EUR.

Of course, discipline is again the basis here.



Nice that you still bring in the discipline. Since something already fails with me. haha

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Anonym

General sports betting thread 2021

11th Nov. 2021, at 01:29 pm CET#5605
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I've been gambling for over 20 years without discipline, and in the end I'm only in the red because of it
I am convinced of that
The biggest kill factor is when you have uncontrolled adrenaline rushes
Have played everything Poker, sports, casino ...

That's why, understand, I want to try discipline. Or again....When I started back then
when I started, it was going very well. Have only become more and more uncontrolled over the years

Have it now again calculated. 369 is only ok with 400 credit
additional 1,50 as level 4
3= very safe
2= medium safe
1= risky/normal
0, - 1 = safe/megarisky

The next point would be
1) when do I pay out ( 1 time a month ? )
2) how much of it ( how much % )

It is really hard to do this professionally
Example: Leon Geretzka
What is the probability that he scores a goal ?
Actually not more than 30% with 60 minutes of play rather even less
That is a quota 1.85 is actually much too bad
Etc. so you have to consider so many factors

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Butterbrezel
Elite

General sports betting thread 2021

11th Nov. 2021, at 02:28 pm CET#5606
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Yes, playing on tilt is disgusting. Ultimately, playing, whether betting, slots, Poker, should be fun. And if money comes around it is of course great.

Your contribution with 369 / 400 I have not understood now.

What is a "very safe" game for you? What is the difference between "medium safe" and "normal"? Why do you put "risky" and "normal" on the same level?

How much and when you pay out depends on your betting system and the odds you play. Everything has advantages and disadvantages.
I find the 50 / 50 variant optimal.

The game Germany - Liechtenstein is anyway difficult to estimate. No-Bet.

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Butterbrezel
Elite

General sports betting thread 2021

11th Nov. 2021, at 02:43 pm CET#5607
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Let's take the Ireland - Portugal match as an example.

Ronaldo scores and Portugal wins for 2.0. I think you can basically play that. Well, I do not, because odds under 3 and international match, but otherwise I find the odds okay.

Portugal is basically much stronger than Ireland. The victory rate of 75% is already realistic in my opinion. Portugal still needs 4 points for the safe qualification, because the last game is in the direct duel against Serbia. Therefore I don't think that they will lose.
And since the game is based on Ronaldo anyway, Ronaldo kicks the penalties and also plays through -> value.

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