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Sports betting in general: General sports betting thread 2021 (Page 161)

Topic created on 17th Aug. 2019 | Page: 161 of 600 | Answers: 5,996 | Views: 874,107
Butterbrezel
Elite
So far all tips wrong...hope today lies on Häcken (0:0 to HZ) and Bremen - VfB.

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Patizi
Elite
unicorn wrote on 06.12.2020 at 15:11
If you were to take your aspect seriously, then yesterday's games would still have an indirect impact on the outcome of today's games. So you contradict yourself there in your argument. It is just not more probable that today no draw comes out of the fact that yesterday already 4 pieces came. It is possibly more likely only for the reason that Leverkusen goes into the game as awesome favorites and so only the game Stuttgart:Bremen comes into question as the only possible draw game.

And what is your problem now that he simply lists another aspect? Do not understand your problem. If he types so or after it then it is ok. And if he communicates that here then that is also perfectly ok!

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u****n
Patizi wrote on 06.12.2020 at 15:33
And what is your problem now that he just lists another aspect? Don't understand your problem with that. If he types like this or after that then it's ok. And if he shares that here then that is also perfectly ok!

Another one who doesn't get it. If he says he types according to the average statistical values, then he can do that and share that here too. It's not a bad way to go about it either. But if he says that it is more likely that today no X comes, because yesterday already 4 X have come, then this is simply a false statement and one should point to it. Because it should be clear to every normal thinking person that yesterday's results influence today's results in the smallest way, and that an X today is not less likely because of that.

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Patizi
Elite
unicorn wrote on 12/06/2020 at 3:40 pm
Another one who doesn't get it. If he says he types according to the average statistical values, then he can do that and share that here. It's not a bad way to go about it either. But if he says that it is more likely that today no X comes, because yesterday already 4 X have come, then this is simply a false statement and one should point to it. Because it should be clear to every normal thinking person that yesterday's results influence today's results in the smallest way, and that an X today is not less likely because of that.

Statistically, however, he is right!

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KennyKenner
Rookie
Patizi wrote on 06.12.2020 at 15:33
And what is your problem now that he just lists another aspect? Don't understand your problem with that. If he types like that or after that then it's ok. And if he shares that here then that is also perfectly ok!

Thank you !

I am successful with it and wanted to show the colleague who still has the two draws open and is thinking about a premature auscashen another aspect...

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Patizi
Elite
KennyKenner wrote on 12/06/2020 at 3:45 pm
Thank you !

I am successful with this and wanted to show another aspect to the colleague who still has the two draws open and is thinking about an early cash out...


He just does not understand that it is only about the statistical and we are still clear that every game starts at 0! Can absolutely understand how you think.

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u****n
Patizi wrote on 06.12.2020 at 15:44
Statistically he is right though!

Yes, probability theory and mathematical statistics are however 2 different pairs of shoes, which one should not mix, which he made however obviously. Otherwise a good aspect, which one should justify however then already correctly.

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u****n
Patizi wrote on 06.12.2020 at 15:47
He just doesn't understand that it's all about statistics and we still realize that every game starts at 0! Can absolutely understand how you think.

I understand very well what he means and also understand the difference between probability and statistics, which is obviously the same thing for you.

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Patizi
Elite
unicorn wrote on 06.12.2020 at 15:50
I understand very well what he means and also understand the difference between probability and statistics, which is obviously the same thing for you.

Ok, you are right and we have our peace!

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Jannesxxx
Well, that went great. As so often. From next week will be consistently ausgecasht at x20 and larger. This WE 500€ made flat by greed. That is already stupid

But still a thousand times better than to invest in Daddelkisten or online casinos. There it goes anyway in the pants

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