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Sports betting in general: General sports betting thread 2021 (Page 136)

Topic created on 17th Aug. 2019 | Page: 136 of 600 | Answers: 5,996 | Views: 849,822
G****e

General sports betting thread 2021

11th Nov. 2020, at 05:16 pm CET#1354
1 Like

Liked this post: Avatar von Falko Falko
Falko wrote on 11/11/2020 at 17:11
Thanks. At least I have 90 minutes of excitement with a deposited 10 here and with every won bet the game fun is extended. In contrast to the slots, I got rid of another 15 euros in just 10 minutes earlier

I feel the same way. No matter which slot. Nothing comes and if times free spins then 4-5 euros win. Is no longer normal

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Patizi
Elite

General sports betting thread 2021

12th Nov. 2020, at 09:46 am CET#1355
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What was going on at France.... -.-

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G****e

General sports betting thread 2021

12th Nov. 2020, at 10:57 am CET#1356
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Patizi wrote on 12/11/2020 at 09:46: What was going on in France.... -.-

Manipulated ? 😃

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slotliebe89
Elite

General sports betting thread 2021

12th Nov. 2020, at 11:26 am CET#1357
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At the moment, it's probably best not to bet on friendly matches, including the NL.

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Jenn-R
Expert

General sports betting thread 2021

12th Nov. 2020, at 11:47 am CET#1358
1 Like

Liked this post: G****e
Patizi wrote on 12/11/2020 at 09:46: What was going on in France.... -.-

That's why you don't take 1.18 odds into it 😂

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G****e

General sports betting thread 2021

12th Nov. 2020, at 11:56 am CET#1359
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Jenn-R wrote on 11/12/2020 at 11:47 AM
This is why you don't take 1.18 odds in 😂

Absolutely my opinion 👍

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Patizi
Elite

General sports betting thread 2021

12th Nov. 2020, at 02:59 pm CET#1360
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Jenn-R wrote on 11/12/2020 at 11:47 AM
That's why you don't take 1.18 odds into it 😂

Well, had 3.5 goals! But in the end it doesn't matter what odds you take. 1.18 or 5.0...broken is broken. Can say the same, 5er odds you do not take.

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x****Y

General sports betting thread 2021

12th Nov. 2020, at 04:26 pm CET#1361
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Patizi wrote on 12.11.2020 at 14:59
Well, had 3.5 goals! But in the end it doesn't matter what odds you take. 1,18 or 5,0...broken is broken. Can say the same, 5er odds you do not take.


you win with a 1.18 quote just 0.18 of your bet. If you lose a bet with 1.18, you would have to play just over 6 bets with these odds to pay for a mistake. This is absolutely not worth it, especially in combined bets. Every bookmaker rubs his hands, how a player makes his advantage even bigger than it already is.

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Butterbrezel
Elite

General sports betting thread 2021

12th Nov. 2020, at 05:32 pm CET#1362
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Exactly, 1.18 odds are not worth it.

I always convert the odds into probability and compare them with the probability I calculated.
I handle it in such a way that I add my Win factor to my probability.

Example: According to my estimation, a result has a chance of 70%.

100 / 70 = 1.42

In order to win something, I calculate a probability of 70 % simply 60 % (always about 10 % less).

100 / 60 = 1,66

Thus the quota 1.66 is in this case Value, since you pay me even more, than from my view would be justified. And so I make a win in the long run.

So for a 1.18 odds I would need a probability of 95% in the 3way. That is not value in a football game, no matter who is against whom.



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Patizi
Elite

General sports betting thread 2021

12th Nov. 2020, at 05:40 pm CET#1363
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Seniorfips wrote on 12/11/2020 at 16:26
you win just 0.18 of your bet at 1.18 odds. If you lose a bet with 1.18, you would have to play just over 6 bets with these odds to recover from a mistake. This is absolutely not worth it, especially in combined bets. Every bookmaker rubs his hands, how a player makes his advantage even bigger than it already is.

Nevertheless, it doesn't matter what you break in the end. Broken is just broken. Btw. lately I make plus thanks to these small odds!

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