Betting games,... : Raffle final (Page 6)

frapi07 wrote on 03.06.2024 at 22:56: Nuremberg didn't bring any luck Luckily I didn't go there

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Dutch78 wrote on 03.06.2024 at 23:22:

But many others who were not lucky

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Chewi wrote on 04.06.2024 at 07:30: How are goal tips evaluated?

Tips submitted

Butterbrezel: 30 minute
Chewi: 18 minute
MiPe: 7 minute


Assuming a goal had been scored by the 7th minute, would Mipe have won?

18.-29th minute Chewi?

And from the 30th minute until the final whistle Butterbrezel?

What applies from minutes 8-17?

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x00NY wrote on 04/06/2024 07:54:
Shouldn't it be obvious that whoever is closer would win?


Say: 0-12:30 mipe, 12:31-24:00 chewi, 24:01-90:00 pretzel

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frapi07 wrote on 04.06.2024 08:45:

I would see it that way too, but then find it unfavorable that someone then had significantly more time (if it had been evaluated that way).


Maybe another value would be better? Corners would be more suitable, I think.

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x00NY wrote on 04.06.2024 09:24:

Fair enough, everyone can speculate what the other will do Besides, there's a good chance that a goal will be scored in the first 25 minutes.

In which minute of the game are the most Bundesliga goals scored?

Answer:

In 2015, bundesliga.de published statistics on this. For this purpose, the playing time was divided into 5-minute intervals and all goals scored in the Bundesliga up to that point (48,704 goals) were grouped together.

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frapi07 wrote on 04.06.2024 09:38:

Not really. I looked up various sources and no matter whether Bundesliga, EPL or World Cup. Your statement is not true.


Question:

In which minute of the game are the most Bundesliga goals scored?

Answer:

In 2015, bundesliga.de published statistics on this. For this purpose, the playing time was divided into 5-minute intervals and all goals scored in the Bundesliga up to that point (48,704 goals) were grouped together.

The result: By far the most goals were scored between the 85th and 90th minute.

(Source: In which minute of the match are the most Bundesliga goals scored? | soccer-questions)

or:


Goals per minute: There is indeed an asymmetry in soccer. Significantly more goals are scored in the second half of the game than in the first. At a World Cup, you wait an average of 36 minutes for a goal. Data from the 2007/08 season shows that in the Premier League, around 60% of goals are scored in the second half and 40% in the first half. The 1,179 goals scored in the season were distributed in 15-minute intervals as follows: 150, 157, 168, 203, 179, 322.You can see: A particularly high number of goals are scored at the beginning of the second half and in the last 15 minutes. The probability of a goal is dynamic.

(Source: Goals and the law of small numbers | Telepolis)

Incidentally, there could also be problems with corners, because theoretically there could also be such a case: actual corners 5. A bets on 4 corners and B bets on 6 corners. Both then have a difference of 1. I had considered this in my post, but wanted to mention it again in the addendum.

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x00NY wrote on 04/06/2024 10:05:

1. It's clear that if you take all games, the average is higher. If the first goal in a game happens in the 90th minute, it weighs significantly more than a game in which a goal happens in the first minute. As an example

Game 1: Goal 1 minute
Game 2: 1 minute
Game 3: 90 minutes

The average is already 31 minutes, although in 2 games the first goal was scored in 1 minute.

2. Anyone can speculate how they think they are most likely to win. Are you also starting to criticize Poker for not being fair because not everyone gets the same cards at the start?

3. There's an incredible €10 at stake, and fun should be the priority. Some people have to make a science out of everything. No wonder hardly anyone wants to organize competitions here anymore.

P.s: by the way, the first poll makes no sense here. Of course more goals are scored in the 85-90 minutes, the opponent opens up as soon as they are one goal behind. It's highly likely that a goal will have already been scored earlier in the game, so it won't be the first goal.

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frapi07 wrote on 04.06.2024 at 10:27 am:


But enough off topic - good luck to the 3 for the next round

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Andre wrote on 04.06.2024 at 10:51: 0:0 was really unfortunate. Since everyone submitted the Tip anonymously, I think it's a fair thing. With corners, for example, there's a greater Risk of several people picking the same tip. 7-11 corners are usually the rule.

Unfortunately, there has to be a new question. This time I'll take two games. The second game is only valid if the first one also ends 0-0. You just write me another minute for the game between Austria and Serbia. If this game ends 0:0, the tip applies to Italy - Turkey.

Austria vs. Serbia (20:45)
Italy vs. Turkey (20:45)

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