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Bonus & offers: Great thing about the advent calendar, but... (Page 11)

Topic created on 09th Dec. 2020 | Page: 11 of 23 | Answers: 221 | Views: 45,768
Delarion
Amateur

unicorn wrote on 12/17/2020 at 8:26 pm
It also has nothing to do with the error rate but with the amount of submitted errors. Just wanted to say, who is particularly involved in the debugging, and has already collected or exchanged several coins, also no longer comes into the pleasure of additional coins in the Advent Calendar abzustauben.

crude theory without hand and foot. if the top 10 had all been drawn in the first 10 days, someone would probably also come along and claim that the 10 are preferred, both in the errors and in the calendar.


that they were not drawn is just bad luck for them. it's as simple as that.

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DerHamburger87
Top Member
Delarion wrote on 12/18/2020 at 09:19 AM

crude theory without hand and foot. if the top 10 had all been drawn in the first 10 days, someone would probably also come along and claim that the 10 are preferred, both in the errors and the calendar.


that they were not drawn is just bad luck for them. it's as simple as that.

Also your theory is without hand and foot because you do not know whether there is a connection between reporting errors and the lotteries
You believe it because GJ expresses it but you can not know whether it was just bad luck

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Klabisto
Experienced
If on one day 5 (!!!) of 20 lucky people have already been drawn for the 3rd or 4th time and 4 of the remaining 15 lucky people have already been drawn for the 2nd time, this is no longer a coincidence! Lottery from yesterday......

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DerHamburger87
Top Member
Klabisto wrote on 18.12.2020 at 10:33 am: If on one day 5 (!!!) of 20 lucky people have already been drawn for the 3rd or 4th time and 4 of the remaining 15 lucky people have already been drawn for the 2nd time, this is no longer a coincidence! Lottery from yesterday......

I read a report the other day from a man who demonstrably won 2 times!!!! Won over 1 million USD in the lottery!!! It is possible!!!

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Klabisto
Experienced
DerHamburger87 wrote on 18.12.2020 at 10:39 am
I read a report the other day of a man who was proven to have won 2 times!!!! Won over 1 million USD in the lottery!!! It is possible!!!

Will he make it a 3rd or 4th time then?

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Delarion
Amateur

DerHamburger87 wrote on 18.12.2020 at 09:42
Also your theory is without hand and foot because you do not know whether there is a connection between reporting errors and the lotteries
You believe it because GJ says so but you don't know if it was just bad luck.

that's right, i can't prove it, so i have to believe the statements that the operators make.


if I could prove it, the statements made by the other side would no longer be theories, but false statements.

here however without proof a confused statement is set up opposite the operators only because some people do not get it that the chance to win is daily the same, therefore it can also occur that there is a participant, who opens all 24 doors, since each day the lots are drawn again, thus the probability calculation on the days distributed does not work.

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Delarion
Amateur

Klabisto wrote on 12/18/2020 at 10:49 AM
Will he make it a 3rd or 4th time then?

the chances are slim, but yes, in theory this is possible

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Matthias
Expert
To remove all ambiguities:
Since the winners are announced publicly every day anyway, there will be a complete calendar draw statistic at the end of the lottery on our part. Here you can see how many times someone has participated in the calendar draw and how high the percentage prize distribution per participant is.

And no, there is absolutely no connection with nicknames that some are preferred.
The drawing is generally done by user IDs and not by names. It doesn't matter if someone's name is "Sweet-Moppelchen" or "The-Destroyer", everyone has the same chance to win.

There is also no correlation between the participation in error messages on the portal and the advent calendar. Everyone has the same chance to win. It is chance and nothing else.

This forum post would have received now almost 1000 words more, because I have written my fingers to the bone, as far as the coincidence is concerned.
The written text I will use after long consideration now to write an own news article, which will go online in the next days
Here I will report in detail about what chance can do.
And yes, I really believe that you can win the lottery 3 times - you will read the news article shortly...

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Begbie
Elite
Are the users that participate actually added to the RNG linearly by time of login or is the user field randomly ordered?

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Matthias
Expert
Begbie wrote on 12/18/2020 at 12:37 pm: Are the users who participate actually added to the RNG linearly by time of login or is the user field randomly ordered?

So programmed this has counters of course, but what I can tell you:
It doesn't matter if you log in to GambleJoe at 00:01 in the morning or at 17:55.
The RNG starts daily at 18:00 and looks simply in the user database, which user has a timestamp from the current day in the "last-activity" column, at the same time it is still queried whether a total of at least 1000 activity points.

According to this, everyone who has logged in to GambleJoe between 00:00:01 and 17:59:59, and has a total of 1000 activity points, takes part.

We do the drawing as correctly as possible, to the best of our knowledge and belief, and if you don't believe it, don't believe it.

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